Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.282824 0.334396 0.396113 0.476436 0.579743 0.710320 0.891463
2025-01-19 0.206517 0.267860 0.351350 0.477387 0.670690 0.970800 1.506382
2025-01-26 0.167223 0.231699 0.328159 0.491698 0.782549 1.328033 2.590994
2025-02-02 0.143342 0.209026 0.314947 0.512758 0.913886 1.816082 4.588101
2025-02-09 0.125447 0.190413 0.301657 0.526841 1.039333 2.409295 8.129966
2025-02-16 0.112549 0.176772 0.292616 0.544696 1.184317 3.222310 15.440740
2025-02-23 0.101612 0.164160 0.282009 0.554973 1.319114 4.208134 30.519372
2025-03-02 0.092274 0.152658 0.270735 0.559601 1.444102 5.399836 64.833362
2025-03-09 0.083912 0.141573 0.257877 0.556003 1.544297 6.729764 148.770140
2025-03-16 0.076157 0.130504 0.242880 0.542125 1.602769 8.028013 364.430520
2025-03-23 0.071902 0.125713 0.240637 0.562554 1.813494 11.194300 2658.928226
2025-03-30 0.066149 0.117116 0.228212 0.549700 1.877755 13.489611 35675.686882
2025-04-06 0.062258 0.112015 0.223364 0.559636 2.068578 18.594807 NaN
2025-04-13 0.057903 0.105438 0.213941 0.552489 2.174235 23.749707 NaN
2025-04-20 0.055077 0.101817 0.211215 0.567219 2.427621 35.390892 NaN
2025-04-27 0.052930 0.099420 0.211175 0.591825 2.786432 59.131514 NaN
2025-05-04 0.050647 0.096442 0.209098 0.608582 3.129518 99.585175 NaN
2025-05-11 0.048720 0.094052 0.208204 0.630117 3.563119 190.897487 NaN
2025-05-18 0.046648 0.091097 0.205260 0.642554 3.958075 377.171191 NaN
2025-05-25 0.044548 0.087859 0.201009 0.648163 4.315682 791.153353 NaN
2025-06-01 0.042352 0.084181 0.194947 0.643792 4.572904 1671.142199 NaN
2025-06-08 0.040018 0.079966 0.186735 0.626963 4.662744 3152.692970 NaN
2025-06-15 0.038913 0.078666 0.187096 0.651744 5.387409 34577.789292 NaN